#CovidIsNotOver

#ThisIsOurPolio #LongCovidKills #LongCovid #Covid #Covid19 #SARS2 #DeathCult #LifeExpectancy #CovidIsNotOver #CovidIsAirborne #WearAMask #BetterMasks

Per WHO, every twelve minutes four people die of acute covid. Three of those deaths are in the United States.

Entering April, for every three covid deaths, U.S. saw another excess death not attributed to covid.

The emergency is over. Covid is not done with us.

Chart: U.S. Share of 28-Day Covid Deaths
Data: JHU before 2/28/23; WHO to 5/14/23 (via Our World in Data); NCHS (via CDC) for U.S. thereafter

[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]

Shows covid 28-day mortality as reported for the U.S. as share of G8, G20, and global 28-day mortality. Share of population for each comparison is provided for reference.

7-day avg of U.S. share of G8 covid deaths at 55.4%, on an upward trajectory, well exceeding share of pop. (~38%). This time last year, share of G8 covid deaths was 38.4%, climbing toward winter.

Avg. U.S. share of G20 covid deaths flatter: now 30.0% (vs. ~7% of G20 population). This time last year: 21.1%.

U.S. share of global parallels: now 30.5% (vs. ~4% of pop.). This time last year, U.S. share of global covid deaths was 21.1%.

All three metrics were near or below respective populations roughly May through August of two years ago; thereafter have been profoundly higher than population share ever since.

Caption:

United States represents about a third of G8 population, yet well over half of all recent reported G8 covid deaths.

Likewise, U.S. share of G20 deaths is now near four-and-a-third times its share of population; share of global deaths: over seven times population share.

Chart: Rolling Year Pandemic Mortality: United States
Data: CDC, NCHS

[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]

Captions:

Rolling Year shows deaths reported latest 365 days.

As of May 11, CDC ended reporting of PHE aggregate covid deaths. CDC now provides provisional covid death counts from NCHS NVSS. This chart uses aggregate data through May 6, provisional data thereafter.

---

As of April 1, over one in four excess deaths in the U.S. were “not covid”. Incomplete preliminary data has this ratio approaching three in ten entering May.

That includes: covid deaths not reported as such or for which no covid test was administered; deaths from post-acute sequelae of prior covid infection (whether consequences of symptomatic Long Covid or otherwise asymptomatic, heightened risk for sudden adverse health outcomes); and deaths from causes that would otherwise had not been fatal but for deferred medical care, continued strain on understaffed hospitals, and shortages of vital medical supplies.

Tove Harris 2. Account

https://journals.lww.com/nrronline/fulltext/2023/07000/alzheimer_s_disease_risk_after_covid_19__a_view.2.aspx

Influenza haben die meisten Menschen alle paar Jahre mal (wenn überhaupt), #COVID19 haben viele vermutlich einmal oder mehrmals im Jahr. Gute Aussichten also für #Alzheimer. Unsere Politiker:innen wollen es wohl so.

#COVID #CovidIsNotOver #Corona #SARSCoV2 #vaccinesPLUS 😷

"Alzheimer’s disease risk after COVID-19: a view from the perspective of the infectious hypothesis of neurodegeneration"

Ron Chusid :verified:

Cleveland Clinic: The pandemic is not over. Precautions such as wearing masks remain important.
#COVID #CovidIsNotOver #BringBackMasks https://health.clevelandclinic.org/is-the-pandemic-over/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=cc+tweets

aka ginger

https://bipanlibrary.com/2023/06/01/virtual-pride-events-2023/

the Bi-Pan Library put together a calendar of #virtual #Pride events and includes a plaintext version below the calendar

#VirtualPride #COVIDIsNotOver

Deacon Jericho

#CovidIsNotOver #DavosStandard #CleanAir

Ich habe die Einladung eines meiner besten Freunde zum 50. Geburtstag ablehnen müssen. Das Setting: 100 Leute indoor ohne irgendein Schutzkonzept. Eine insgesamt unbekannte Anzahl von/ einigen erwiesenen Impfgegnern/ Ungeimpften unter den Gästen. It breaks my heart - dass ich absagen musste, aber vor allem dass ich NULL Verständnis für meine Entscheidung erhalte, von keiner Seite.

War meine Entscheidung falsch, habe ich mich verrannt, übertreibe ich?

Geoff Berner

Well there you go. The Jews in the Warsaw Ghetto, with their pitiful resources, under constant threat of violence, stamped out a typhus epidemic with public education, distancing, hygiene and ISOLATING people who were sick. Somehow, they never said "Ah, well, it's super contagious so why bother trying?" Makes you want to weep, really. https://www.newscientist.com/article/2249578-how-a-jewish-ghetto-beat-a-typhus-epidemic-during-the-second-world-war/ #covid #LongCOVID #CovidIsNotOver #warsawghetto

#ThisIsOurPolio #LongCovidKills #CovidIsNotOver
#hospitals #nurses #LongCovid
#MassDisablingEvent #liver #accident #Covid19 #SARS2 #DeathCult #LifeExpectancy

Given evidence linking covid infection to sudden onset liver damage, recent increased liver disease mortality is hardly surprising.

Elevated accidental deaths, however, are less open to presumptive explanation. Our world has changed and with it our expectations.

Chart: Select Causes of Death: Reported Annual Data
Data: NCHS, Census. Accidents figure for 2022 is provisional (not final).

[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]

Caption:

Accidents (unintentional injuries) have returned to their pre-pandemic standing as third leading cause of death in the United States. While deaths for which covid-19 was the attributed underlying cause of death were, indeed, down from prior two calendar years, 2022 saw many more deadly accidents than would have been predicted based on 2015-2019 trendline. Were it not for this sustained spike in accidental deaths, covid would have retained third place.

Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis saw a near identical jump in relative mortality over the first two years of the pandemic. As of yet, only provisional figures for 2022’s top four causes of death are available. (Final “statistics”—if not “data”—for all causes might be available end of this year.)

Despite discourse about suicide rates in recent years, intentional self-harm deaths were still below trendline as of 2021’s final mortality figures.

Legend (in part):

* Accidents (unintentional injuries) (+45K more annual deaths vs. 2019)
* Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis (+12K)
* Intentional self-harm (suicide) (+1K)
* Projected U.S. population

Dotted lines indicate trendlines for Jan 2020 forward, for each disease category.

Chart: Causes of Accidental Deaths: Reported Annual Data
Data: NCHS, U.S. Census Data 2015 to 2019. 2020-2022 blank.

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Caption:

Historically, U.S. health authorities have published “Final Data”—detailed tables and demographic analysis of causes of mortality—about eighteen months, give or take, from the close of each calendar year. This pattern has largely held for every year back to 1996, likely reflecting non-digitized (pre-PDF) practice from long before that.

Yet for 2020 and 2021, we only have abridged “final statistics”, released December of last year. We would have typically expected final data for 2020 to be released last year, and final data for 2021 sometime in the next few months.

Undoubtedly, steeply elevated deaths by unintentional injury in recent years are attributable to a combination of factors: biomedical (consequences of both of deferred treatment for progressive and chronic conditions and newly emerged post-acute sequelae, i.e. Long Covid), sociotechnical (risks introduced by as yet unexamined pandemocene changes to our built environment and our collective navigation of same), and systemic (less access to life-saving interventions and post-injury care as a result of ongoing attrition of medical professionals).

Absent data, however, we’re left only with speculation and conjecture.

#ThisIsOurPolio #LongCovidKills #LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver #hospitals #nurses #HeartDisease #Diabetes #Alzheimers #Dementia #Sepsis #Cancer #Covid19 #DeathCult #LifeExpectancy

Folk are dying at record numbers, of comorbidities of severe acute covid that are also implicated as post-acute sequelae of covid infection. ↺

Of course, ongoing hospital staffing attrition also contributes to elevated death tolls. Said attrition continues. ↺

Chart: Circulatory Causes of Death: Annualized Deviation from 2015-2019 Average
Data: Centers for Disease Control, U.S. Census Bureau. Reflects death certs that do not identify covid as underlying cause.

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Caption:

Heart failure mortality stands out as having declined during the pandemic, remaining well below historical trendline to this day.

Ischemic heart disease deaths increased during the first year, but have been more or less declining toward baseline since then. (Notably, ischemic heart disease is the only subgroup to have been on a downward trajectory pre-pandemic.)

Hypertensive, cerebrovascular, and other diseases of the circulatory system, though each seeing declining annualized mortality in recent months, all remain well above historical trendline.

Legend (in part):

* Hypertensive disease (+29K more annualized deaths vs. 2019)
* Cerebrovascular diseases (+14K)
* Heart failure (+2K)
* Ischemic heart disease (+1K)
* Other diseases of the circulatory system (+8K)

Dotted lines indicate trendlines from Jan 2020 forward, for each disease category.

Chart: Elevated Non-Circulatory Causes of Death: Annualized Dev. from 2015-2019
Avg Data: CDC, Census. Reflects death certs that do not identify covid as underlying cause.

[ beadsland on Ko-fi ]

Caption:

After spiking in first year of the pandemic, annualized Alzheimer disease and dementia mortality dropped just as swiftly, thereafter remaining near or below historical trend.

Diabetes mortality has not been so quick to recover from first year spike, only beginning to decline in the second half of last year, though still well above pre-pandemic trend.

Deaths by sepsis were markedly down in 2019, following a coordinated national effort by hospitals. Despite this, sepsis mortality has been climbing at a rate well above even pre-2019’s relatively flat trendline, for over three years now.

Renal failure deaths didn’t see an appreciable climb until the latter part of 2021, peaking only months ago. Meanwhile, malignant neoplasm (cancer) deaths, slower to manifest, have been suggestively creeping above trend for well over a year.

Legend (in part):

* Diabetes (+11K more annualized deaths vs. 2019)
* Alzheimers and dementia (+19K)
* Renal failure (+5K)
* Sepsis (+4K)
* Malignant neoplasms (+11K)
* Projected U.S. 65+ population

Dotted lines indicate trendlines from Jan 2020 forward, for each disease category. A dash-dot line indicates sepsis trendline if concerted effort at reduction in 2019 not occurred.

MikeDunnAuthor

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/more-70-us-household-covid-spread-started-child-study-suggests

Kids don't get Covid?
Schools are safe?
Masking unnecessary?

Think again.

Recent study indicates that 70% of all household Covid spread began with an infected child, and that this trend accelerated when schools reopened, and declined during summer vacation.

#covid #CovidIsNotOver #pandemic #SafeSchools #children #masking

D. April Wick

#covid19 #pandemic @plaguepoems #humor

The local Pride parade is setting up outside our window, and we'd like to (1) put out some extra n95 masks in case anyone needs them, and (2) put up some kind of #CovidIsNotOver sign that reads as positive and supportive and possibly humorous.

Any recommendations for what to say?

Kevin Karhan :verified:

@Connewitz @republica #CovidIsNotOver und das greift auch nur bei Versammlungen im öffentlichen Raum!

Eniko Fox

#covid #CovidIsNotOver #CleanAir

If only there was something that could be done to reduce the spread of covid in schools by 95% or more, like adding some kind of air filtration devices

More than 70% of US household COVID spread started with a child, study suggests: https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/more-70-us-household-covid-spread-started-child-study-suggests

Ron Chusid :verified:

#COVID #CovidIsNotOver https://gothamist.com/news/is-covid-back-in-nyc-wastewater-surveillance-shows-coronavirus-is-rising/

Wastewater shows Covid increasing in New York. What happens in New York does not stay in New York.

MikeDunnAuthor

#covid #Corona #CovidIsNotOver #kona #Hawaii #PublicHealth

No covid allowed.
Sign on a tree, at Two Step, South Kona.

Sign with green Corona virus with a red circle and a cross. Reads; no covid allowed on this property

Dr. Lucky Tran :verified:

Pretty much the only leader that understands that we are still in a pandemic 😷 #CovidIsNotOver

Bernie Sanders wearing an N95 mask in Congress

#ThisIsOurPolio #Covid #Covid19 #SARS2 #CDC #variants #CovidIsNotOver #CovidIsAirborne #WearAMask #BetterMasks

Arcturus XBB.1.16 (incl. FU.*) clan third of non-Kraken XBB sequences in GISAID; one in five CDC specimens most regions.

Hyperion XBB.1.9.1 (incl FL.*) quarter of sequences. CDC shows most prominent in Middle South.

Unnamed XBB.1.9.2 (incl EG.*) near two fifths.

Chart: SARSCoV2 Variant Dashboard - USA | 21-DAY TRENDS
Source: NYITCOM Research Report

Caption (in part): Circulating Variants in the following US States :All - Specimen Collected in the last 21 days | Updated on 6/2/2023 5:13:36 AM | Source (sequences): GISAID

Bubble chart showing tallies of each identified variant for each state. Data has been filtered to show many dozen Pangolin subvariants of XBB (incl. parent, excl. XBB.1.5 family). Top subvariants are XBB.1.16 (19.76%), XBB.1.9.1 (12.20%), XBB.1.16.1 (8.78%), FL.4 (5.41%), and XBB.1.9.2 (5.12%).

Largest circles are coral (XBB.1.16) for New York (20), California (12), New Jersey (11), Virginia (10), Utah and Hawaii; gold (XBB.1.16.1) for Hawaii (12), Cali & NY; brown (XBB.1.9.1) for Cali (11), NY (10), Hawaii, Washington & NJ; pink (FL.4) for Utah & NY; peach (XBB.1.9.2) for NY; and various other colors for variants across various states.

Dozens of variously smaller bubbles for these and other variants in various states.

Map: Nowcast Estimates for 5/14/2023 - 5/27/2023 by HHS Region
Source: Centers for Disease Control

Map shows pie charts for each of 10 regions, reflecting regional estimated proportions for specimens collected two weeks ending 5/27/2023. (Note this was released 5/26/2023.)

Most regions show XBB.1.5 (dark blue) taking majority share of their respective pie, except Northwest (46.0%), NY/NJ (49.5%) and Mid-Atlantic (50.0%).

Purple (XBB.1.16) between 15% and 20% of pie in all regions but for Southwest (13.9%), Mountain/Dakotas (9.3%), Lower Midwest (6.3%) and New England (8.3%).

Light blue (XBB.1.9.1) near a two fifths pie for Lower Midwest, between 10% and 14% all other regions, except Great Lakes (9.3%).

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/raj.rajnarayanan/viz/USAVariantDB/VariantDashboard]

Fourth week of post-Kraken soup, unmitigated XBB.1.5 spread has lead to over 80 pango variants.

Latest dashboard for Kraken clan has XBB.1.5.26 lineage (EU.*) standing out in Utah.

Near three in four of 21-day GISAID sequences not descended from Kraken at all.

[Srcs: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions

#ThisIsOurPolio #Covid #Covid19 #SARS2 #CDC #variants #CovidIsNotOver #CovidIsAirborne #WearAMask #BetterMasks

CDC's Variant Nowcast showing weighted estimated distribution of variants over fortnights ending 2/18/23 thru 4/29/23, with model-projected estimates for following two fortnights.

Proportional stacked bar chart, where each color represents a different variant, inclusive of those descendants not otherwise broken out. XBB.1.5 (dark blue) displaced BQ.1.1 before Feb. Thereafter, XBB.1.16 (purple), FD.2 (blue-violet), XBB.1.9.1 (light blue), XBB.1.5.1 (midnight) & XBB.2.3 (pink) & XBB.1.16.1 (peach) now eat into that position.

XBB.1.5 est. at 67.7% & 53.8% vs. 75.7% fortnight of 4/29, for avg -12% weekly change in est. share.

XBB.1.5.1 est. at 2.3%, 2.2% vs. 1.9%, for avg. 2% growth in share.

FD.2 at 1.7%, 1.5%, vs 1.4%, for avg -1% change.

XBB.1.9.1 at 9.0%, 11.8% vs 5.8%, for avg +40% growth.

XBB.1.9.2 at 4.3%, 6.1% vs 2.7%, for avg +53%.

XBB.1.16 at 8.2%, 15.1% vs 4.0%, for avg +90%.

XBB.1.16.1 at 2.3%, 3.9% vs 1.3%, for avg +64%.

XBB.2.3 at 3.1%, 4.8% vs 2.0%, for avg +70%.

Susannah The Tired

#Disability #Representation #LetterboxdFriday #Movies #CovidIsNotOver

#KittenWatches Help (2021)

Help is set in a care home during the first months of the pandemic, in MY city! It capably & heartbreakingly highlights the true damage of ableist #covid policy & omg, it hit my trauma as a care reciever/high risk person painfully, but cathartically!

My review took a very long time to write & was a work of both love & trauma.

Link: My ★★★★★ Letterboxd review of Help
https://letterboxd.com/kitteninacave/film/help-2021/1/

Movie poster for Help shows a yellow background with a carer on the top (Jodie Comer) with her mask pulled down under her chin (Her face shows a picture of absolute horror and trauma) and a man underneath. (Stephen Graham)

The words in the centre say "Help. No one is coming".

MJ Santos

#COVID19 #CovidIsNotOver #COVIDisAirborne #MaskUp

Good times huffing saccharine! :ageblobcat: I did my first fit test today. I took liberties with the official setup because a) the house trash bags are perfumed and that messes with me and b) in the real world I am unlikely to be exposed to such an intense concentration of aerosols as I would inside a fit test tent. 1/

Surgical mask, GVS P100 Elipse respirator, and two Cambridge Masks, valved and unvalved, with a bottle of liquid saccharine and a nebulizer mask in the background.

#ThisIsOurPolio #hospitals #LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver #nurses #MassDisablingEvent #CovidIsAirborne #BringBackMasks

Counties by adult hospital capacity (darkest counties on map above):

⒈ Warren, NY—128%
⒉ Wise, VA—121%
⒊ Matagorda, TX—118%
⒋ Smyth, VA—116%
⒌ Yuma, AZ—111%

⒍ Boone, KY—107%
⒎ Kenton, KY—107%
⒏ Buchanan, MO—105%
⒐ Shenandoah, VA—102%

⒑ Hanover, VA—100%

#ThisIsOurPolio #hospitals #LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver #nurses #MassDisablingEvent #CovidIsAirborne #BringBackMasks #dataviz #datavis

Some 66 (+4) counties ≥ 100% capacity per HHS data.

Reporting ≥ 90%: 184 (-14)—over 7½% of those with any capacity. Includes surge and overflow beds: near full can mean E/Rs with day-long wait times.

For counties w/ ICUs—near one in six are full or near full.

Map: Adult Hospital & ICU Capacity by County
Data: U.S. Dept of Health & Human Services, American National Standards Institute
Updated: June 1, 2023

Shows a color scale of 7-day average adult inpatient beds occupied over 7-day average adult inpatient beds staffed for 48 contiguous states only. Scale runs from black (well over 140%), to purple (120%), to red (80%), to orange (50%), to yellow (10%). Counties for which no hospitals/beds are reported are represented by colored hatch marks, reflecting state-level reported capacity.

Patterns of black circles represent counties where adult ICUs are near full; circles are dotted where adult ICUs are entirely full. Sparse grey dots show areas where no ICU beds are reported.

Most of the map is dark purple-orange, with splotches of lighter orange-yellow in the interior, mostly in the Rockies and lower Midwest. Black indicators heavily pepper the map.

:BIPOC_Autistic_Pride: EVEL 🗡

#DisabilityCrowdfund #CovidIsNotOver #TransCrowdfund #MutualAid #WearAMask #chronicIllness

Bought the Flo Mask for my teen! Thank you Fedi for helping to keep my family safe! <33

And someone bought a set of filters for the 3M Secure Click respirator! So now I just need the rest of the #mask funded!!
51% funded so far https://throne.com/evel/wishlist/item/73b2a107-c00d-4a8e-b76e-4568a94d3a2d

MikeDunnAuthor

https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/more-1-6-unvaccinated-covid-survivors-report-symptoms-2-years

Opposed to Covid vaccine? Think again.

New study indicates that over 1 in 6 unvaxxed Covid survivors still has symptoms 2 years later.

#covid #vaccination #CovidIsNotOver #LongCovid #antivaxxer

Paul-Gabriel Wiener

#NYC #COVID #COVID19 #CovidIsNotOver

All 14 NYC wastewater treatment plants are reporting high levels of COVID-19. (And yet everyone, including city hospitals, has dropped mask requirements.)

https://gothamist.com/news/is-covid-back-in-nyc-wastewater-surveillance-shows-coronavirus-is-rising

Babu Menos 💬

#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #COVIDIsNotOver #LongCOVID #WearAMask #BringBackMasks #NormaliseMasks #Sports #Cycling

A few hours ago, Eric Feigl-Ding tweeted this:

Let this sink in—N95/FFP2-wearing cyclist @rogla just won elite @giroditalia 🚴‍♂️ race! This man even won a strenuous mountain ⛰️ time trial while wearing a mask. Several top contenders got knocked out with #COVID. No more “can’t breathe in a mask” excuses. 🚵‍♀️

The original, twitter dot com/DrEricDing/status/1664034919360745472, includes a video.

#ThisIsOurPolio #RSV #Strep #Flu #LongCovidKids #CovidIsNotOver #BringBackMasks

5 days ago

Counties by pediatric capacity (darkest counties on map above):

⒈ Coconino, AZ ≥150%
⒉ Collier, FL ≥150%

Idaho—141%

⒊ Wood, WV—125%
⒋ Ingham, MI—116%
⒌ Pope, AR—101%

⒍ Buncombe, NC—100%
⒎ Bonneville, ID—100%
⒏ Somerset, NJ—100%
⒐ Potter, TX—100%
⒑ Anoka, MN—100%

#ThisIsOurPolio #pediatric #hospitals #pedsICU #RSV #Strep #Flu #LongCovidKids #CovidIsNotOver #nurses #MassDisablingEvent #CovidIsAirborne #BringBackMasks #dataviz #datavis

5 days ago

Some 175 (-10) counties have pediatric care near or over capacity (≥90%).

Of 261 (+3) counties reporting any PICU capacity, near one in six are over or near full.

So many places where there aren't enough staff for sick or injured kids to receive required care.

Map: Pediatric Hospital & PICU Capacity by County & State
Data: U.S. Dept of Health & Human Services, American National Standards Institute
Updated: May 31, 2023

Shows a color scale of 7-day average inpatient beds occupied over 7-day average inpatient beds staff for 48 contiguous states only. Scale runs from black (well over 140%), to purple (120%), to red (80%), to orange (50%), to light yellow (10%). Counties for which no hospitals/beds are reported are represented by colored hatch marks reflecting state-level average.

Sparse grey dots show vast expanses where no PICU beds are reported. Dense patterns of black dots represent counties where PICUs are full or near full.

Much of the map is hatched red-orange with grey dots, with purple-red-orange counties. Some yellow, mostly in Mississippi watershed. Black & black-dotted counties can be spied in all regions. The state of Idaho stands out as a black-grey hatch surrounded red/orange/yellow hatches in surrounding states.

#ThisIsOurPolio #hospitals #LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver #nurses #MassDisablingEvent #CovidIsAirborne #BringBackMasks #dataviz #datavis

6 days ago

Pediatric staffing never recovered to pre-omicron levels. Rather, one in five pediatric beds reported last May: now missing.

PICU Capacity Level (not shown): 68%.

Weekly average ~60 PICU beds were covid patients.

We're failing our kids. The emergency is over.

Chart: Pediatric Capacity: United States
Data: U.S. Dept. of Health & Human Svcs

Stacked area chart of daily 7-day averages for pediatric Unoccupied Beds, Non-Covid Beds, and Acute Covid Beds, for the period from August 2020 through May 30, 2023. Hash marks—indicating PICU beds—overlay bottom of each stacked area.

Dotted lines indicate historical and current Hospitals Surveyed (80%), Pediatric Capacity Level (66%) and Critical Staffing Level (12%). First has fallen off as psychiatric and rehabilitation hospitals have gone to once-annual reporting; second is the ratio of total occupied pediatric beds to total staffed pediatric beds, nationally; last the ratio of hospitals with pediatric beds reporting critical staffing shortages as a share of those that answered said question either 'yes' or 'no'.

Capacity was climbing toward 55K, with climbing occupancy, before plummeting to under 10K in Jan '22. Feb '22 saw gain toward 45K; above in May, before trending down to now well below 40K.