#MathGPT
AI財經新知力系列
美國工商業貸款金額趨勢
這是美國工商業貸款金額記錄，是較為即時性的金融指標。
透過此指標可了解商業銀行的工商業貸款收入是否穩定增長。
🔶
3月底美國財經專家和策略分析師在網上針對此工商業貸款發出警訊，認為還有下波的金融危機。
🔶
不過，若以2020年新冠肺炎前的趨勢預估，現今美國工商業貸款或其他會計科目數據皆是過高情況。
如果要回復新冠肺炎的經濟常態，原來用以支撐實體經濟衰退的金流應該也要回復常態，轉為實體經濟面。
🔶
@board
Tags——
#理財 #經濟 #財經 #教育 #投資 #數據分析 #投資理財 #趨勢 #知識 #美國 #貸款 #金融 #AI #mathgpt #mathAI #科技
已經更新美國通貨膨脹率趨勢
這是由美國勞工統計局發布的通貨膨脹率(未季節調整)數字進行數字趨勢建模。
日期從2016年1月開始到最新更新月份，並設定每條趨勢至少含8個月(此處設定不同於另一則嘟文 https://mastodon.social/@aphoebusli/110186913485654840 )。
持續追蹤美國通貨膨脹率 https://sites.google.com/view/usinflation
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #economics #inflation #CPI #AI經濟 @board #經濟 #財經 #通貨膨脹 #通脹 #通膨 #知識
Trends of US inflation rates
The latest trend started downward in Jul. 2022 and continued 9 months with the average decrease of 0.429% per month. #AI #mathgpt #mathai #economics #inflation #CPI @economics @academicchatter @aieconfinance #AI經濟 @board
The latest trend of median CPI has been increasing with the fastest speed since Jan. 2013 and it cannot draw out the turn-around timing signal.
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #data #dataanalytics #AI經濟 #CPI #trend #inflation #economics @economics @academicchatter @board
The trend of Freight Transportation Services Index has employed downward for 10 months with the average decrease of 0.284 per month.
#economics #transportation #service #trend @board @economics @academicchatter #AI #mathgpt #mathai #AI財經
There was a relevant drop of Bank Credit, 17,312.855 bn dollars, updated the week of Mar. 29, 2023. The recent trend decreased on average 28 bn dollars per month.
#Software : MathAI for numerical modelling (lines combined method)
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #AI經濟 #AI財經 #DataAnalytics #technology #education @economics @board
There has been a slight drop in commercial and industrial #loans to 2.7 tn Dollars (data of Mar. 29). The latest trend direction is not changed yet, but AI notices the recent three weeks have been forming a new downward trend.
#Software : MathAI for numerical modelling (lines combined method)
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #AI經濟 #AI財經 #DataAnalytics #technology #education @economics @board
Trends of US nonfarm employees
From Jan. 2013 to Mar. 2023, there are only three best trends. So I run the nonlinear trends and get 14 trends.
The recent nonlinear trends are shown below (right).
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #labor #nonfarm #laborecon #AI經濟 #AI財經 #教育 #投資 #論文 #employment #job #dataanalytics #data
The software of MathGPT for numerical modelling has been changed the name as "MathAI for numerical modelling."
#MathGPT #mathai #AI #technology #mathematics #statistics #modelling #numbers #science #engineering #STEM
Nonlinear trend of percentage for #layoff / #unemployment was changed to be flatter as adding the new value of Mar. 2023 that is a start of the new trend. This is not a good news. BY #mathgpt with #AI (lines combined method). 3/
#job #economics #AI財經 #laborecon #mathai #technology #labor #layoff #AI經濟 #教育 #投資 #論文 #unemployment #job @board @economics @laborecon #dataanalytics #data
The trend of percentage for #layoff / #unemployment was changed to be flatter as adding the new value of Mar. 2023 that is a start of the new trend. This is not a good news. BY #mathgpt with #AI (lines combined method). 2/
#economics #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #labor #layoff #laborecon #AI經濟 #AI財經 #教育 #投資 #論文 #unemployment #job @board @economics #dataanalytics #data
Recent trend of #layoffs has decreaseed on the average of 4.286 thousands per month since Oct. 2022. The new adding 833 thousand persons let the power of trend weaken, so the new value of Mar. 2023 will be a start of the new trend. BY #mathgpt with #AI (lines combined method). 1/
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #labor #layoff #laborecon #AI經濟 #AI財經 #教育 #投資 #論文 #unemployment #job #dataanalytics #data
C&I loans showed the the loan value of Mar. 22, 2023 was a key time and might be a start of new trend since it let R2 of the latest trend (Feb. 8~Mar. 22) decrease.
#AI財經 #AI #mathgpt #mathAI #AI #technology #finance #statistics #財經 #投資 #論文 #金融 #finance #dataanalytics #data
to 03/15: R2=0.43,
to 03/22: R2=0.09.
@economics @board @laborecon @academicchatter
Compare the latest trends when the value of Mar. 2023 was added. The outcomes are calculated by MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method) software. Here we can find that the US nonfarm private payrolls started stopping the decline tendency. But the downward trend is not turn around yet. 3/
#AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #labor #payroll #laborecon #AI經濟 #AI財經 #教育 #投資 #論文 #dataanalytics #data
@economics @board @laborecon
Update trends of US Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment during Jan. 2010 ~ Mar. 2023, using MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method) software.
Since we add the new observation, value of Mar. 2023, the change occurred on the slope of 423.749 (till Feb. 2023) to 396.399 (till Mar. 2023). 2.2/
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #dataanalytics #data #technology #economics #employment #laborecon #科技
@economics @board @laborecon
Update trend of ADP nonfram payrolls. The latest trend shows the average decrease of 387.49 (till Feb. 2023) to 323.89 (till Mar. 2023) thousands of persons per month. The nonfarm payrolls trend has declined slowly. 1.1/
#mathgpt #mathai #ai #technology #nonfarm #AI財經 #AI經濟 #laborecon #economics #econmastodon #econdon #dataanalytics #data
The result of data which is till Feb. 2023: https://mastodon.social/@aphoebusli/110146907896918884
@board @economics @academicchatter
Recent latest trend of the delinquency rates has increased since 2021Q4, and the trend slope (0.162) is close to the one of line 5 (2016Q4~2018Q4), 0.169.
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #金融 #財經 #經濟 #finance #creditcard #loans #technology #data #dataanalytics #DataScience #mathgpt #mathai #AI
Software: MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method)
@aphoebusli I‘d *never* trust *anything* any *GPT software spits out! Just my $0.02. 🤷♂️ #ChatGPT #MathGPT #anyGPT
VERY interesting video (in German): https://youtu.be/medmEMktMlQ #math
US #Borrowings for all commercial banks soared during the latest trend period from the week of Feb. 22, 2023 to Mar. 22, 2023, with average increase of 162963.53 millions dollars per week. The upward trends were from Aug. 24, 2022 covered five trends.
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #AI #科技 #投資 #mathgpt #mathai #borrowing #教育 #經濟 #data #dataanalytics #technology #USborrowing #bank #finance #banking
Recent 7 trends of US deposits for all commercial banks with the slope of the trend.
The recent latest trend shows the U.S. banks are still under stress when the deposits continued to flee at an unprecedented rate of 40.2 billion dollars per week.
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #AI #科技 #投資 #mathgpt #mathai #Deposit #教育 #經濟 #data #dataanalytics #technology #USdeposit #finance
#AI經濟 #AI財經 @board @economics
US deposits really took a dive! During the recent 11 weeks, deposits plummeted with 40.2 billions per week.
#AI #科技 #投資 #mathgpt #mathai #Deposit #USdeposit #technology #data #dataanalytics #finance
#AI經濟 #AI財經 @board@a.gup.pe @board@ovo.st 分享AI經濟講座第三講
美國供給面發生什麼問題，使用美國非農私人就業人數，在 #MathGPT for numerical modelling 的 AI分析後，精準趨勢又會告訴我們哪些重要發現呢？
單變量時間序列資料使用AI分析確實能夠得到更加直觀且有用的信息。
#論文 #教育 #投資 #理財 #經濟 #財經 #mathai #AI #technology #科技 @economics @laborecon
Main findings:
1. ADP nonfarm payrolls had been growing slowly than before, seen average increase of 205.3 thousands per month. So the values in Green are less than ones in Orange.
2. The ADP nonfarm payrolls were lower than the values in Orange and in Green which are the trend level of payrolls without COVID-19 shock.
#AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #economics #employment #laborecon @laborecon 3.1/
@economics @board
Understand how #COVID19 affects ADP nonfarm.
Orange: regress ADP nonfarm on time variable before 2020, and then keep the time code in COVID period to calculated the values.
Green: follow the line 10 from the results of setting of at least 12 months, and then keep the time code in COVID period to calculated the values.
#AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #economics #employment #laborecon @laborecon 3/
2. #Covid19 hits the US employment market from the evidence of 15 months of line 11 and 23 months of line 12.
3. US employment market spent 15 months and had the average decrease of 402.8 thousands person who left their work per month . It spent 23 months climbing back to the employment level of 2019.
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #economics #經濟 #財經 #employment #laborecon 2.1/
@economics @board
Trends of US Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment during Jan. 2010 ~ Feb. 2023, using MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method) software.
Main findings:
1. Before 2020, each trend covers 12 months by AI and data. Every year had stable and growing trend.
#AI財經 #AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #economics #employment #laborecon 2/
@economics @board
Trends of US Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment, Thousands of Person, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Period: Jan. 2010 ~ Feb. 2023
MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method) software
lines 23 and 25 show the reason why US employment market strongly growed.
line 26 shows why the economic experts and strategic analysts considered USA is entering or will enter the recession.
#AI經濟 #AI #mathgpt #mathai #technology #economics #employment #laborecon 1/
@board@a.gup.pe @board@ovo.st
#MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method) 軟件
❤️單機運算，不須連網，不用擔心數據外洩。
❤️AI挑選的海量數學函數庫已經含在其中，為數字建立精準數學模式。
❤️操作簡單，每次三步驟選擇，之後自動生成最佳數學模式、圖，和報表結果。
❤️目前為論文而苦惱的朋友們，可以下載使用。
過去舊題目或理論都能重新驗證。就像我發現1960年美國經濟學家山姆森和索羅改良的菲力普曲線，適用美國數據，但不適用英國數據!!!(年月頻率的數據都一樣，並已公開在社群網站)
❤️實驗室數據同樣也能使用這個軟件跑出數據結果，為你的分組數據跑出分組排序的數學模式。
@board@a.gup.pe @board@ovo.st
這樣一看就能理解，用 #mathgpt for numerical modelling (lines combined method)不只公開趨勢信息，還能看殘差分布。
AI的Mathgpt可以明確說出2022年4月開始美國個人消費支出年增率開始下降，已經有政策影響效果。非人為經驗
@board ❤️AI新知力❤️美國耐久財通膨和服務業通膨關係
1⃣如果耐久財通膨超過14%，服務業通膨也會隨之增長
2⃣如果耐久財通膨不高(藍)，並且在增長，那麼服務業通膨的下降速度將非常快速
3⃣如果耐久財通膨持續上漲(藍轉橘，橘轉灰)，服務業通膨下降速度就變緩了
小結：
當專家用時間走勢圖講耐久財通膨和服務業通膨關係 => 那是特定時間下的兩點比較，沒有和你分享兩者通膨的關連性!!
Excel
B欄: 耐久財 (X)
C欄: 服務業 (Y)
軟件：#mathgpt for numerical modelling (lines combined method)
#經濟 #通貨膨脹 #通脹 #inflation #AI #人工智能 #人工智慧 #財經 #數據科學 #數據分析 #數字科學 #data #science #科學 #科技 #technology #mathematics #statistics #economics @economics
@board@ovo.st @board@a.gup.pe
安利朋友的软件
它为数字而生
它为数字建模
它用海量函数
它用AI判断！
功能不是“数学计算”喔
无法用tiny缩网址的嘟友，朋友说有github，喜欢再给个star
https://www.github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT
folk下载
文件夹路径C:\lines_combined
#英特爾 (#Intel, #INTC) 每月本益比(Price-to-Earnings Ratio, PE)趨勢圖
日期：2009年1月到2023年2月，另加上今日2023年3月30日截止的本益比值
我想分享 #MathGPT 可以為數字做到精準的數學模式。而英特爾本益比的圖可以讓投資人不需要限制在既有的折線圖上，可以真正看到客觀且短期的趨勢。
紅：估計
藍：原值
#AI #data #datascience #finance #investing #PE #mathemetics #statistics #engineering #數學 #統計 #數據科學 #大數據 #人工智能 #人工智慧 #財經 #金融 #投資 @academicchatter @board
美國 Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Shelter in U.S. City Average (CUSR0000SAH1) (100 = Jan 2022)
整體估計結果：R2=0.999984 MSE=0.003655
這個殘差散布圖，嗯~~你們看看有沒有規律😂
我這測定殘差完畢，看第三圖
#mathGPT #economics @economics #shelter @board #AI #mathematics #statistics #data #science #datascience #DataAnalytics
精气神下降一大截让人难受
即使如此，我仍想说
一切皆有可能👍
欢迎大家观看和分享
https://www.youtube.com/@bigdatastorm
近期视频都是数字和数学 #AI
内容从头说起，我的研究和团队在这方面的AI成果
其中还有 #mathgpt for numerical modelling (lines combined method) 的免费软件，提供使用
@board@a.gup.pe @board@ovo.st #大数据 #統計 #数学 #数字 #人工智能 #人工智慧 #AGI #数据分析 #data #science
Y=美國非農的所有工人的小時報酬 (COMPNFB)
X=所有工人的勞動生產率(每小時產出)(OPHNFB)
軟件：#MathGPT for numerical modelling (lines combined method)
最佳模型計34條直線估計線
最新一條趨勢線：
從2020Q4~2022Q4
Y=272.501494-1.188696*X,
R2=0.048221
前一條趨勢線：
從2019Q2~2020Q3
Y=-381.705259+4.656591*X,
R2=0.980611
由此可見勞動市場受到新冠疫情影響。單看失業率，再看這結果。清清楚楚呈現美國勞動市場勞動生產率提高，反而對應工時下降!!!
#COVID19 #laborecon #economics #macroeconomices #econometrics #AI #data #datascience #science #財經 #經濟 @econometrics @economics @macroeconomics @laborecon #artificialintelligence
The toot on https://mastodon.social/@aphoebusli/110009831595361990 had shown the UK inflation trend with time signals and trend signals, using #MathGPT for numerical modelling.
The latest line's equation from 2022/06~2023/01:
Y=0.083333+0.108333*X, R2=0.365462
Today, the plot covers the latest data of February, 2023.
The latest line's equation from 2022/06~2023/02:
Y=1.154444+0.095000*X, R2=0.380742
#inflation #UK #economics #finance #research #econmastodon @academicchatter @econometrics @economics @macroeconomics
布蘭特原油期貨價格(Yahoo! Finance, BZ=F)
目的：建立短期精準趨勢
方法：lines conbimed method 多線段法
軟體：#MathGPT for numerical modelling
空心點：原數值
紅點：估計值
綠點：預測值
想解數字問題 必先建立精準數學模型
#數學 #統計 #AI #人工智慧 #精準建模 #精準分析 #finance #財經 #原油 #油價 #brent #economics #mathematics #statistics #artificialintelligence #data #datascience #science #dataanalytics #dataanalysis #crudeoil @economics #econmastodon
多線段法的直線模式在數字的數學建模上有多驚人嗎？
讓我使用Job Postings on Indeed (USA)，它的指數以Feb 01 2020 = 100，進行建模。整體解釋力達R2=0.999981，MSE=0.031048，用了103條直線型的估計線。
最新一條趨勢
2023/2/23~2023/3/10，計16天，實時職位發佈的趨勢為
Y = 67.621765 - 0.109853*X,
R2=0.889179
X=time code from 754 ~ 769。
如果沒有外在影響和變故改變這條趨勢，那麼你基本上可以發現平均每天減少0.1個職位被發布。
@laborecon #labor #job #economics #econometrics @economics @econometrics #勞動力 #就業 #職場 #經濟 #勞動市場 #論文 #寫作 #data #dataanaltytics #datascience #mathemetics #美國 #USA #MathGPT #AI
✅US Oken's Law
#economics #econometrics #finance #AI #technology #thesis #writing #data #econmastodon #dataanalytics #MathGPT @econometrics
@macroeconomics @economics
Downlaod software:
https://github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT
✅Fed total assets trend
#economics #econometrics #finance #AI #technology #thesis #writing #data #econmastodon #dataanalytics #MathGPT @econometrics
@macroeconomics @economics
✅3 Month Treasury Bill Secondary Market Rate trend
https://github.com/meiyulee/leetalk/blob/master/_posts/2023-03-17-DTB3.md
#economics #econometrics #finance #AI #technology #thesis #writing #data #econmastodon #dataanalytics #MathGPT @econometrics
@macroeconomics @economics
Free Windows version
#MathGPT for numerical modelling software
Downlaod:
https://github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT
Examples:
✅US Phllips curve
✅US core CPI trend
✅US core inflation rate trend
✅US Dow Jones Industrial Average
✅3 Month Treasury Bill Secondary Market Rate trend
✅Fed total assets trend
✅US SIVB and SI relationship
✅any two paired samples can run to get the accurate mathematical model.
#economics #econometrics #finance #AI #technology #thesis #journalpaper #writing #data #dataanlaytics @economics
Use #MathGPT for numerical modelling #software to analyze US core #inflation #trend when #AI determines the optimal explanatory power for each trend and the minimum data for each trend.
The latest trend info:
X = time code from 80 ~ 86
Y = core inflation
Estimated equation Y=20.901671-0.179498*X,
R2=0.853232
@academicchatter @economics @econometrics @macroeconomics #economics #econometrics #technology #data #finance #stocks #investing #dataanalytics #經濟 #財經 #通脹 #通貨膨脹 #econmastodon #econdon
#MathGPT for numerical modelling software applied on US core inflation trend from 2016/01 ~ 2023/02.
The latest trend info:
X = time code from 77 ~ 86
Y = core inflation
estimated equation
Y=10.506329-0.055449*X,
R2=0.236816
#economics #econometrics #CPI #AI #technology #data #dataanalytics #trend #software @academicchatter @economics @econometrics @macroeconomics #經濟 #財經 #通脹 #通貨膨脹
美國通貨膨脹率趨勢追蹤
已經更新到2023年2月資料
https://sites.google.com/view/usinflation/
通貨膨脹率的下降斜率趨緩，顯示美國物價黏性高，想要達到美國聯準會的長期2%目標仍有段路可走，不過所謂的2%是「均值」，代表有上下限，預計最快能達到的上限約4.576%，所以還差1.5%的路，看起來還是很有感的。
#inflation #economics #財經 #經濟 #MathGPT #AI #數學 #統計 #數據分析 #chatgpt #data #dataanalytics #trend #statistics #econometrics #technology #科技 #技術 #科學 #science #EconomicSlowdown @economics @academicchatter @board
朋友的部落格文
用 #MathGPT for numerical modelling 軟件驗證經濟學奧肯法則
這圖是62筆數據一次性建模。他在文章中結論出一旦美國失業率變化走向兩端，實質GDP變化率在原直線迴歸結果都是被高估的！
也就是美國以為失業率變化是失業率一年比一年低，實質GDP變化率會直線增長，結果是增長遞減😂
反過來(看右邊)，實質GDP變化率下降遞增。看似變化一點點，請還原一下，這是等比級數或指數，想想就是細思恐極。
#經濟 #財經 #macroeconomics #economics #unemployment #GDP #AI #data #dataanalytics @academicchatter @economics @board
朋友的 #MathGPT 功能1跑美國失業率和通膨率關係
哈哈哈，太酷了😆
如果比對現在美國失業率位置，高通膨是不可避免，還是美麗的直線
原數據的點圖很明顯美國低失業率還會有兩群通膨率，這不就是有好好控制和沒好好控制的結果嗎？
這個數字分析確實是 #chatgpt 做不到的功能，也是我做數據分析時需要的工具！
高失業率區(綠)出現每增加1%失業率，通膨減少0.05%。
謝謝朋友告知的免費軟件
#economics #unemployment #inflation #AI #data #dataanalytics @economics @academicchatter
Model: linear model based on lines combined method + AR(1) error model
horizontal axis: monthly unemployment rate
Vertical axis: Inflation rate: percentage change from year ago (calculated by CPI)
不同於數學四則運算和計算數學角度設計的 MathGPT ，不同於為寫程式的數學資料庫查詢器的MathGPT
這是將數字的規律用數學模型表現出來！而數字可以是模擬值、實驗值、還在增加的數字！
為數字找到數學模式，還是精準建模！
推薦給大家
https://github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT/
#research #technology #mathgpt #chatgpt #ai #bigdata #dataanalytics
這幾天聽朋友講著
#MathGPT #AI #bigdata #dataanalytics
免費軟體已經公開在 #github
恭喜🥳
UK inflation trend with time signals and trend signals, using #MathGPT for numerical modelling.
#inflation #UK #economics #finance #research @academicchatter @econometrics @economics
安利 免費可用的 #MathGPT for numerical modelling 軟件 (Windows版)
https://github.com/meiyulee/MathGPT/
喜歡請給 star
@board @academicchatter #chatgpt #technology #modelling #mathematics #science #research #writing #論文 #研究生
#SVB Financial Group ( $SIVB ) #SiliconValleyBank daily close = X
#Silvergate Capital Corporation ( $SI) daily close = Y
Method: linear model based on lines combined method (Part of #MathGPT)
#SI #stockmarket #finance #Chatgpt #股市 #美股
#硅谷银行 #research #technology #research @academicchatter
