Is the Loss and Damage fund agreement at #COP28 the 21st century industrial equivalent of buying indulgences?
Fossil fuel and power states are going to keep extracting and emitting, but they’ll feel less bad about it because they’re going to pay some of the victims some compensation for loss of homes, homelands, livelihoods, and lives…
Our new report '#Petrostates of Decline'🛢️📉 analyses 40 countries with high economic dependence on #oil & #gas revenue & how far those revenues are likely to fall 2023-2040 in a #EnergyTransition consistent with limiting global heating to 1.8°C https://carbontracker.org/reports/petrostates-of-decline/ #COP28
"Previous IMF interventions may have reduced a country’s ability to invest in transition. Now, the IMF’s response to, or management of, an economic crisis must also consider solutions that are not building the fragilities of the future.
[…] The IMF is facing a steep learning curve."
"The World Bank poured billions of dollars into fossil fuels around the world last year despite repeated promises to refocus on shifting to a low-carbon economy, research has suggested."
This battery in Victoria is as big (bigger) than Genesis' Huntly Power Station in Waikato.
Australia has more than 100 of these (10MW+) built or building, so far. NZ will have one for Meridian near Marsden Point, in 2024, maybe.
firstname.lastname@example.org - First sod turned on Victoria’s big battery near Melton. Once complete, the Hub will provide 1.6 gigawatt hours of energy storage. #springst #EnergyTransition #AusClimateSolutions #ClimateDiary https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/sec-power-one-worlds-biggest-batteries
#EnergyTransition: Biden’s climate law triggers global shifts in #cleantech supply chain https://www.ft.com/content/8313c9e2-c57d-4ad3-943f-6271676283d9
"When US President Joe #Biden passed his flagship #climate law last year, he ushered the world into a new era of industrial policy... More than $200bn has been invested in US #CleanEnergy this year, a 37% increase... Many countries have since introduced competing incentives... #EU proposed the #NetZero Industry Act... #Canada proposed $15.5bn worth of incentives"
Some good news ...
A new analysis finds the world is likely already on track to hit this goal.
The IMF propose existing climate scenarios not only be updated to reflect mounting challenges to the low-carbon #EnergyTransition but work be done to ensure that the impact of jointly occurring shocks is modelled https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/climate-scenarios-need-revamp-unstable-world-imf-2023-11-28/
Stop climate 'virtue signalling' and move past fossil fuels now says Australian Mining Billionaire Andrew Forrest on his way to #COP28. He has called for the Fossil fuel old guard to get out of the way, if they are not serious with #EnergyTransition and decarbonisation
#FossilFuels #Fortescue #ClimateCrisis
First sod turned on Victoria’s big battery near Melton. Once complete, the Hub will provide 1.6 gigawatt hours of energy storage. #springst #EnergyTransition #AusClimateSolutions #ClimateDiary https://www.premier.vic.gov.au/sec-power-one-worlds-biggest-batteries
For Ep. 212, we are pleased to present the second show in our new, occasional "place-based" format. For this episode, @chrisnelder traveled to the wee Scottish isle of Eigg to tell a remarkable #energytransition story that is happening there. https://xenetwork.org/ets/episodes/episode-212-transition-in-eigg/
Ambitious step change outlined for greener and warmer buildings in Scotland
28 November 2023 14:26
Proposals to replace fossil fuel heating with clean heating and improve energy efficiency
Clean heating systems will replace polluting heating systems in Scotland’s homes and buildings by 2045 under proposals published today.
“The #wind that blows over the #GreatLakes is stronger and more consistent than what inland #windfarms receive. It holds steady even in the middle of the day, when power demand is high but generation from onshore #windfarms tends to slow down. Which means that, in theory, tapping into the #wind resource over the lakes would allow the #electricgrid to rely more on #renewables without being as affected by their intermittency.
Yet … “ https://insideclimatenews.org/news/24112023/what-happened-to-the-great-lakes-offshore-wind-boom/ #energytransition #windturbine
37/n One idea (another addition to this #COP28 #glossary of sorts) discussed for the last couple of years in this context is that #Africa might #LeapFrog in its #EnergyTransition - ie, that it doesn't have to go through the #FossilFuel stage but can skip it and go straight to clean energy and renewables. One useful summary of this is provided here by Wartsila (a renewable energy company) but there are many critics. Obviously some real #ClimateJustice issues here.
First transatlantic flight using 100% green fuels to take off https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-67548961
Note the aircraft in picture: Lucy in the Sky…
A psychedelic dreamscape in which anything seems possible, including “sustainable mass aviation” 🤣
Someone in Virgin has a sense of humour.
Meanwhile industry experts pour scorn. So waste cooking oil might help, but would only cover Rish!’s ‘needs’ if every fish shop chipped in & wouldn’t reach the Kumar’s at no 42.
…the above quote and image are from Professor Julian Allwood presenting the third in a series of 6 films that deliver an #energyTransition reality check from @ukfires https://youtu.be/WGGTDdS5Yyo?si=Vx0srRVhUGM-GCRx
- - -
And re earlier in this thread… as expected, woeful journalism from Justin Webb on #r4today just now:
asking a token question about the *scale* issue of SAF but then letting Virgin’s greenwash and errant bullshit have the last word, unchallenged
Looking forward to #r4today slipping out of its default sycophancy mode when its much-trailed interview with Virgin takes off on the subject of the
“First 100% SAF-fuelled commercial transatlantic flight”
– in order to properly examine the greenwash
(It won’t of course, because the truth about Sustainable Aviation Fuel is too uncomfortable for a culture in denial)
US oil and gas production set to break record in 2023 despite UN climate goals https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/nov/27/us-oil-gas-record-fossil-fuels-cop28-united-nations?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
So, tell me again about the purpose the Inflation Reduction Act.
There was me thinking it was just renewables on the up.
Can we name an oil producing nation that is actually intending to reduce production?
#energytransition or not?
Even with the recent slump in lithium prices, sodium is still a cheaper option.
Its clearest potential advantage is in storing excess electricity for grids."
China’s coal addiction puts spotlight on its climate ambitions before Cop28 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/27/china-coal-addiction-spotlight-climate-ambitions-cop28?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
This is deeply problematic and unhelpfully advances the doomer/delayer argument that it’s China that needs to do the hard yards, not UK. It also overshadows China’s tremendous (world leading) efforts in commissioning new wind & solar capacity.
I haven’t seen figures but it looks to me like China is focused first on adding capacity by the most expedient means.
When science showed in the 70s that gas stoves produced harmful indoor air pollution, the industry reached for tobacco’s PR playbook by:
✖️ casting doubt on negative findings
✖️ funding its own biased research
There’s still plenty of debate about whether gas stoves belong in homes, but it’s important to know where the “evidence” comes from, and to expose the tactics that vested interest groups have used for years.
"Success of Geert Wilders’ far-right PVV raises fears for Dutch climate policies" by @NiranjanAjit
Quoting yours truly. Wilders' pro-Russia anti-immigrant climate denial party got 23.5% of votes, but I'm not so pessimistic about our climate policy for now.
#ClimateChange #COP28 #climatepolicy #energytransition #EnergySecurity
Das B der ABC Inseln 288 km²
Water- en Energiebedrijf Bonaire
Energy Snapshot Bonaire
Das ist die Fallstudie des 2019 in Betrieb genommenen 6MW/6MWh Batteriespeichers von Wärtsila
die auch auf anderen karabischen Inseln Batterien installierten
Das Energy Profile der Irena für Bonaire
Da ist es in Aruba deutlich besser.
Eine Passion von mir ist die Energiewende auf Inseln. Als ich heute eine Doku über St Helena sah, suchte ich nach renewable energy auf St.. Helena.
Electricity Generation - Connect Saint Helena Ltd http://www.connect.co.sh/electricity-generation.html
Größere Windturbinen dürften schon aus logistischen Gründen nicht realisierbar sein
St Helena Energy Strategy https://www.sainthelena.gov.sh https://www.sainthelena.gov.sh/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/161025_St-Helena-Government-Energy-Strategy-FINAL-October-2016.pdf
In dem Bericht werden die karibischen Inseln Bonaire und Aruba als Vorbild erwähnt
A convo with @solar_chase on the state of the solar industry.
This year China will install nearly 250GW of new PV, which is about what the entire world installed last year!
Globally, PV module prices are at $0.13/W, but they're double that in the US. Also, module prices are no longer a driver of PV system costs.
‘It’s like buying an iPhone and not having a cable’: UK’s bid for net zero in the balance due to grid ‘blind spot’ https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/25/race-to-get-uk-electricity-grid-ready-for-net-zero?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
What if we flooded every roof with solar and put small wind turbines on every chimney? And then there’s community energy projects. And then there’s suppressing demand (to the extent possible, noting EV chargers).
Basically, I wonder what assumptions are included in national planning calculations?
#energytransition needs grid but how much?
1. If “persuasion” is the goal of government community engagement, it’s not particularly surprising that communities as skeptical or opposed to proposed projects (as in “In fairness to officials, effective persuasion is hard work at the moment. Everyone in politics reports that voters are irritable and hard to reach.”)
2. If communities had a direct benefit from new renewables infrastructure, they’d likely be much more open or even excited about it. As in, beyond “it will lower your power bills” or “it’s good for the planet”. When renewable energy systems are essentially just lower-emission corporate profit generating schemes, it’s no wonder communities worry about the costs they bear, like degraded visual amenity and potential decrease in tourism.
#EnergyTransition: The #HeatPump Manufacturing Boom is About to Begin https://heatmap.news/economy/heat-pump-grants-biden-administration-defense-production-act
"#Biden authorized the use of the #DefenseProductionAct to expand American manufacturing of electric #HeatPumps... Now, a year and a half later, money is finally going out the door... so that households could replace their #FossilFuel-based furnaces."
Swedish 🇸🇪 group Northvolt has made a breakthrough in a new🔋battery tech used for energy storage that the Swedish industrial start-up claims could minimise dependence on China for the #EnergyTransition https://www.ft.com/content/826fb9bb-b27f-4c68-ad4b-a54ad74713c9
'Powering Up for Climate Justice' unpacks financial needs & barriers & much needed financial support for a justice-led global renewable energy target ahead of COP28. many countries and COP28 Presidency have come on board with the need to triple renewable energy by 2030.
350.org calculate a need for $1.9tr yearly Renewable Energy investment in the Global South outside China by 2030.
To reach that a support package must include:
🤝 debt cancellation at scale
💰 $100bn in concessional finance
💵 $200bn in grants yearly
Viele Jobs für die Energiewende bleiben unbesetzt https://www.vdi-nachrichten.com/technik/energie/viele-jobs-fuer-die-energiewende-bleiben-unbesetzt/
Die Furcht vor dem Klimawandel und die Begeisterung für die Energiewende ist natürlich riesig.
Wenn es darum geht, eine der notwendigen Ausbildungen oder Studiengänge zu wählen, ist von Begeisterung nichts mehr zu spüren.
Da klebt man fest.
Wenn ihr unbedingt ein langweiliges Leben führen wollt, nur zu, ihr seid auf dem richtigen Weg.
TransitionZero has published a report that claims building out transmission grids could save $3 trillion in the global transition to a green energy future.
I like what the report says about creating “corridors of clean energy flow” and the regional maps showing where these corridors could be developed.
Think we'll be able to make it happen? 🤔 ⚡
Fossil gas is not the bridge the fossil fuel peeps claim it is.
"Giant #batteries that ensure stable power supply by offsetting intermittent renewable supplies are becoming cheap enough to make developers abandon scores of projects for gas-fired generation world-wide.
"Researchers at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in Colorado have pushed back on claims that solar uptake will lead to a "waste mountain" of discarded panels, and further show that the purported toxicity of solar panels has been greatly exaggerated by media and even by government departments."
Oil & gas🛢️firms face a crucial choice at UN 🇺🇳#COP28 climate talks next week between contributing to the climate crisis or embracing the clean #EnergyTransition, the International Energy Agency has said https://www.barrons.com/news/oil-firms-face-moment-of-truth-in-climate-crisis-iea-b4c9c2cf
Companies still investing too much in fossil fuels, global energy watchdog says https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/nov/23/companies-still-investing-too-much-in-fossil-fuels-global-energy-watchdog-says?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
1. Old habits die hard.
2. The perceived market value of O&G companies is in good part determined by the strength of their reserves. They have extremely strong incentive to drill for new oil, irrespective of whether that’s eventually extracted.
Investors must soon start to realise that O&G companies are wholesale stranded assets of diminished value.
China has surged ahead in the green hydrogen race, funneling $42 billion into the burgeoning industry this year, according to state broadcaster CCTV.
Not clear from this article what it was spent on, but I'd certainly expect electrolyzers from China.
#energytransition #hydrogen #greenhydrogen
The pipeline also runs through King's Rideau-Rockcliffe ward.
While the safe upkeep of the infrastructure is important to King, he doesn't buy Tierney's argument that building a new pipeline is necessary to protect against catastrophic failure.
"That's rhetoric that's being frankly utilized by many people in the energy lobby," King said. "I think these are false arguments."
China is installing 14 GW of new solar PV per *month* this year!
2021 was the first time that the whole world achieved that speed of deployment...
[Analyst Yan Qin, on the birdsite: "China has added 142.56 GW Solar capacity in the first 10 months of 2023"]
Oh wow, what if this really works well?
Northvolt, Europe’s only large homegrown electric battery maker, created 'breakthrough' more sustainable sodium-ion battery at lower cost to store electricity without lithium, nickel, graphite, cobalt.
Europe’s energy and electric vehicle industries could reduce dependency on scarce raw materials from China.
The language of #JPMorgan’s latest annual climate report reflects an 'increasingly mainstream' vision of the green #EnergyTransition among banks & some analysts, in which financing clean energy is at least as important as stepping away from #FossilFuels🚫🏭https://www.ft.com/content/ec631d67-831e-4efe-b01a-8342eebb0f70
"Britain will increase the guaranteed price offered for offshore wind projects in its next renewables auction by 66%, the government said on Thursday, as it seeks to spur more projects after its last auction failed to attract any offshore wind investment."
The province is warning customers to cancel their payments to a home heating fuel company that has gone out of business.
Maritime Fuels filed for bankruptcy this week, according to PwC Canada, which was appointed as licensed insolvency trustee on Thursday.
Graphite is a vital material in the anodes of lithium-ion batteries.
The competition for increasingly coveted critical resources like graphite is hotting up and as Kurt Cobb points out…
“a resource doesn’t have to ‘run out’ in order for it to become unavailable. It can simply become too costly for its intended purpose — it becomes too expensive to extract/refine and/or producer countries hold it back for their own use or to punish adversaries.”
We're planning to do a bunch of outreach in 2024 in the community of people working with open data and open source energy system models (hopefully with support from NSF POSE and maybe Sloan) and it seems adjacent to the kind of work being done by @pyOpenSci & @leahawasser
Do y'all think this would be a good potential community partnership?
We made a post in their Discourse here:
Observation: The newer a person is to their study of energy, the more they think about technologies, and look for technological solutions. And the longer they study energy, the less they think about technology, and the more they focus on regulation, policy, practice, and politics. Because those are the real impediments to the #energytransition--not technologies.
Meanwhile, in "sign of the times" news, what used to be the world's largest steel plant is being transformed into a wind turbine factory.
It's based in Maryland and is intended to build the steel foundations and other turbine components to be used in offshore wind projects off the east coast.
Emissions in #China 🇨🇳 are expected to fall as early as next year, much sooner than expected, thanks to massive investments in the energy transition.
The most striking growth has been in solar power.
Analysis by Carbon
#Oil & #gas🛢️co's stand out as the most vulnerable credit issuers in an analysis by Fitch, which sought to gauge how businesses will cope with #ClimateRisks such as increasingly stringent #emissions regulations https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-31/credit-downgrades-loom-large-as-fitch-zeroes-in-on-oil-issuers #EnergyTransition
IOUs, Central Maine Power and Versant Power, spent $37.6m of ratepayer's $s to defeat legislation to create public utility.
“What we saw today is that the utilities have continued to spend money on our elections rather than our service, and that’s the story,”
What seems probable is that as #climateCrisis effects bite down, industrial PR is driven towards energy honesty because over-optimistic fluffing will be too socially costly https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/111375721633838166
but for now there is no stock price penalty for #energyTransition over-promising
I also like checking past predictions.
Future of #coal in #China: https://mas.to/@jackofalltrades/110650967856353014
Vaclav Smil about #EnergyTransition: https://mas.to/@jackofalltrades/110594409234135234
EIA electricity demand in China: https://mas.to/@jackofalltrades/111284822753390297
Behind every story about how #renewables are solving the #ClimateCrisis is the underlying assumption that the global #capitalist system is fine, and all we need to change is our energy system. I think this is wrong.
#Climate optimism is dangerous: https://mas.to/@jackofalltrades/110745375439892142
#EnergyTransition is not happening: https://mas.to/@jackofalltrades/111244724632021484
The Hukki energy principle is that as the target size of a milled and ground mineral particle reduces in size, the energy input needed to produce it rises exponentially.
Simon Michaux says that over the course of the last 25 years or so the reduction in copper ore quality has seen target particle size reduce from 150 microns to in some cases as little as 10 microns, with a consequent increase in energy input needed.
ist, sich nicht einmal dafür interessiert, wie alle Materialien und Produkte der Energiewende und Disruption ohne fossile Energie hergestellt werden können, ist nicht Aktivist, sondern unbeteiligter Zuschauer.
Aktivisten sind die wirklich Handelnden, die Prozesse entwickeln, um Materialien und Produkte ohne fossile Energie zu erzeugen und Unternehmen gründen, die die Prozesse nutzen
Wir wären weiter, wenn es mehr Handlungsaktivisten gäbe.
What with all the U.S. #offshorewind projects being cancelled these days - including by Ørsted - the final investment decision for the Revolution Wind project is a ray of rare good news.
South #Australia to reach 100% #renewables as soon as 2027 https://theprogressplaybook.com/2023/11/01/south-australia-to-reach-100-renewables-as-soon-as-2027/
"Energy from renewable sources supplied about 71% of South Australian electricity generation in 2022–23 and is forecast to exceed and remain close to 100% of South Australian demand from 2026–27"
It is essential to combine different modes of transport in an equitable way, while keeping in mind that cities & rural areas, the poor & the rich, and different countries have different needs. According to Vox, #Norway is an example of both what to do and what not to do. #Inclusive #EnergyTransition #GlobalHeating
Machiavelli observes from half a millennia ago that humans do not embrace change easily - until the consequences are obvious & personal. But, we may be at that juncture of “long experience” that humans need to speed up the #EnergyTransition https://carbontracker.org/energy-transition-update-now-cheaper-to-save-the-world-than-destroy-it/
…one of the main ways the #energyTransition is going to play out is via colonialism.
The global north – which caused the metacrisis – will use its ‘creditor’ leverage to get the minerals it needs while those minerals are highest in concentration and therefore cheapest to extract.
Leaving the global south to extract its own resources for its own needs later, at higher cost.
Meanwhile the global north will have done approximately fk all to re-engineer its pathological economics :/
I guess I'm pleased that this NYT story admits that there is not really a viable path forward for "green" shipping at present? (I've been saying this for a while... the current scale is just not sustainable for a zillion reasons)
Joseph Stiglitz, former chief economist of the World Bank:
"'The best – and perhaps the only – strategy … to ensure that developing countries and emerging markets do what they must if we are to avert a climate catastrophe is to start rectifying some of the global injustices of the past, and to generate more income and affordable financing for developing countries.'"
In its World Energy Outlook released today, @IEA says peaks in oil, natural gas and coal demand will happen this decade! First time this shows up in scenario based on governments' current policies.
More electric cars and China's shift towards clean energy mentioned as factors.
It's election time in the Netherlands and some political parties pretend that climate action is all about whether or not one supports nuclear energy.
But if the 3.2 GW of planned nuclear power plants indeed get built, they'll supply max 5% of final energy by 2035-2040.
#nuclear #NuclearPower #climateaction #energytransition
“Renewables will be world’s top electricity source within three years, IEA data reveals”, from https://www.carbonbrief.org/renewables-will-be-worlds-top-electricity-source-within-three-years-iea-data-reveals/
Is anybody with #energy / #renewables / #energytransition knowledge able to explain the details here? How do we get to majority renewables in three years when our electricity production mix currently looks like this: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-prod-source-stacked
Very happy if that happens, just seems like a stretch.
Here are some screencaps taken from Matt’s video, of the Powernest installed in Utrecht. It combines low noise low vibration wind turbines in an enclosure which is covered in solar panels above.
I’ve been intrigued by Aeromine bladeless wind turbine tech since I heard about them last year, but since their initial PR blast they have been frustratingly tight-lipped.
This 10-minute video from @mattferrell is by far the best overview I’ve found yet. It also covers the Powernest approach being trialled in the Netherlands