Masthash

#prediction

Zeitgeisty Aphorisms
1 day ago

@nomadbynature Myślę, że wygra Kathura, Kellie, albo Jake albo Brandon, ewentualnie Emilly #survivor45 #bet #prediction

🎙️ Mound Visit.
3 days ago

#prediction winds of winter in:

My Ryder cup #prediction is Europe by a million

Mina
5 days ago

Some "bold" #future #technology #prediction⁣s for the next 50 years:

There will be no permanently staffed lunar base.

Nuclear fusion will not be an energy source worth reckoning.

There will be no general artificial intelligence.

Objections?

Zeitgeisty Aphorisms
1 week ago

The way to #prediction passes through hashtag__adblocker.

Dr. Sean Radford
1 week ago

Racing Tomorrow – Bure Valley 10 Mile

Final Grand Prix Race of 2023. Will I end on a high?

Even though it has only been 5 weeks since the Dereham 5k, it seems like months. I guess this is because all of the other 2023 Sportlink Grand Prix races were much closer together (with 3 days being the shortest gap).

So here we are. Tomorrow it’s the turn of the Bure Valley Harriers to host their Bure Valley 10 Mile Race, the 14th, and (sadly) final, Sportlink Grand Prix race of the 2023 season. (It looks like there are still a few places available if you fancy it… you can enter at Total Race Timing.)

Starting and finishing in the North Norfolk village of Banningham, my presumption is that it will be a gently undulating route around the surrounding country roads. If the weather is favourable, I suspect fast times will be the order of the day.

And speaking of the weather, the current forecast is a sunny 16° C, with a moderate breeze. So fingers crossed conditions will be near perfect.

Predictions

Below is a table of predictions from various algorithms / sources. Note that the Athlete Data Analysis Platform and Running Watch do not provide 10 mile race predictions, and so I have had to derive values from their 10 km and half marathon distance predictions.

AlgorithmPace (min/km)Time (mm:ss)Difference from fastest (%)Riegel (6 min Assessment)4:3774:17– 11.3 %Riegel (3.2 km Assessment)4:2871:53– 8.4 %Athlete Data Analysis Platform4:2170:00– 5.9 %Running Watch4:1468:07– 3.2 %TrainAsONE4:0766:15– 0.5 %Riegel (5 km Race)4:0666:06–Predictions for tomorrow’s 10 mile road race from a selection of sources. Ordered by increasing velocity.

Given that my last 10 mile race was completed in 66:33 (a personal record), I would have thought that a sub 70 minute time is probable.

Consequently, as has been the case for the whole season, the assessment predictions are suggesting quite a slow (and unlikely?) time for me. And, as has been common, the Athlete Data Analysis Platform and Running Watch are suggesting times somewhere between my expectation and the assessments.

Another 10 mile PB? TrainAsONE thinks so.

At 66:06, the 5 km Riegel prediction is the fastest, with TrainAsONE a close second with a time of 66:15. It is nice to see them concur. It gives faith in their values, and is especially nice as they both predict a personal record time! The game is on!

Wish me luck!

(I’ll let you know how it goes.)

#ai #beatyesterday #garmin #justruntoinspire #norfolk #prediction #race #raceday #racepredition #run #runchat #runforlife #runhappy #runner #runnershigh #runnerslife #running #runningcommunity #runspiration #strava #trainasone #trainingpeaks #ukrunchat

https://trainasone.com/?p=29980

#prediction #prédiction #meteo :
y'a un gros potentiel pour qu'on prenne cher niveau neige, cet hiver🤔 🙄
NB: chuis pas météorologue du tout, j'envois ça en l'air
Par contre, quand je vois la surchauffe aux pôles, et le Jet Stream qui fait le yoyo, je me dis que si y'a eu des gros coups de chaud avec des dômes, les gouttes froides vont pas se gêner pour descendre tout droit du Groenland au début, puis de Russie sur la fin
Si y'a un météorologue pour infirmer mes propos, svp

PSiReN-X
2 weeks ago

#NotNews24 | #UnbreaklingPostPizzageddonNotNews... #NotNearly24...

We have #LeftOverPizza / #SparePizza... #WeLoveLeftovers... 🧡

#Tomorrow is #AnotherDay and #IT's also #HappyHappy #HappyBaconBagelDay... But, we'll #Probably have #PizzaForBrunch...

#IT's also like a #Prediction; only #MoreProphecy...

#Meanwhile... #TheWeather on #Mars...

🧙:party_dino:🤖🐺🤖:party_dino:🧙 | 🍕🦹🥯🦄🥯🦹🍕

#Scorchio!
#HartleyTheHare
#LionelStander from #HartToHart
PSiReN-X
2 weeks ago

#DontPanic... #IT's #OK...

I'm #SensingPizza in #TheFuture...

#IT's like a #Prediction; only #MoreProphecy...

I'm not convinced there is enough #Pizza in #TheWorld...

#HowToPizza...

🍕🌭🌞⛱️⚔️🤖🐺🤖⚔️⛱️🌞🌭🍕

This comic is less than 10 years old and had the subtitle: "In CS, it can be hard to explain the difference between easy and virtually impossible".
10 years ago object identification was virtually impossible - now it is everywhere.

#xkcd #comic #prediction

XKCD comic showing person requesting IT person to add features like item recognition and geolocation to a photo app.
Dawson
3 weeks ago

My other, more wild and even more last minute prediction for the #iPhone event is that the #iPhone15Pro will get #StageManager to accompany the #Thunderbolt port, #SamsungDex style. I also made this prediction for #WWDC23 but it makes more sense with a new USB-C iPhone.

#AppleEvent #wonderlust #iPhone15 #usbc #prediction

MugsysRapSheet ☑️
3 weeks ago

@drrjv
I PREDICTED years ago on #TheBirdSite that #Musk… whose #Tesla cars are going up in flames, "X" is now less popular than "4chan", #StarLink is hemorrhaging cash, and whose sole business success left is #SpaceX which is dependent on gov't contracts… would be bankrupt inside of a decade. #Prediction

Zeitgeisty Aphorisms
3 weeks ago

As goes #prediction, so goes #GolfEquipment.

Pinky Floyd
3 weeks ago
#prediction: someone big is going to flip on #trump this week.
Zeitgeisty Aphorisms
3 weeks ago

#prediction touches the soul and #cartography the body.

Ian Tindale
4 weeks ago

I predict that well within this decade, probably within a few years, we’ll have the first commercially available AI LLM-based language translator that translates between dog to human, human to dog, and dog to dog to human, etc

I predict this will become a product that people will pay money for, and it will change everything in unexpected ways

One unexpected way I’m expecting is that it’ll expand out to be cat <--> human, bird <--> human, etc and then someone will try it with farmed chickens and abattoir cows, etc and this will suddenly change the world irreversibly in a way which we can’t go back from

#prediction #AI #LLM #animals #language #translation

CryptoNewsBot
4 weeks ago

AI to reinvent DAOs while tokenized models will become valuable: VC firm - Framework Ventures co-founder Vance Spencer sees AI as being the ... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/ai-reinvent-dao-tokenized-models-valuable-future-framework-ventures #decentralizedautonomousorganization #frameworkventures #vancespencer #automation #prediction #tokenized #forecast #aimodel #ai

John Quiggin
4 weeks ago

#econtwitter If you are interested in #ClimateCatastrophe and #prediction markets, here's a chance to combine them. https://www.crucialab.net/post/expression-of-interest/

RememberUsAlways
1 month ago

After 25+ years of:

#war #division #hate #recession #rascism #plague #climatecrisis #energytransition #greed and #fascism in the #unitedstates ...

My money is on "stability" in #election2024. Americans want less drama, more results.

If you are a chaos agent, your time of influence will have passed and you failed.

#Prediction
#anarchism

JMLR
1 month ago

'Multiplayer Performative Prediction: Learning in Decision-Dependent Games', by Adhyyan Narang, Evan Faulkner, Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy, Maryam Fazel, Lillian J. Ratliff.

http://jmlr.org/papers/v24/22-0131.html

#multiplayer #games #prediction

Alexf24
1 month ago

Scientists Warn 1 Billion People on Track to Die From Climate Change

The fossil fuels that humanity burns today will be a death sentence for many lives tomorrow.

A recent review of 180 articles on the human death rate of climate change has settled on a deeply distressing number. Over the next century or so, conservative estimates suggest a billion people could die from climate catastrophes, possibly more.

https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-warn-1-billion-people-on-track-to-die-from-climate-change

#Climate #ClimateChange #Capitalism #Science #Prediction

𝐅𝐮𝐦𝐢𝐨
1 month ago

Bilingual Brain Boost: How Knowing Two Languages Enhances Memory and Prediction
#bilingual #brain #memory #prediction #language

https://flip.it/McrTA5

avi2022
1 month ago

#AI. The #Future of #Work: A #Prediction

In 10 years, 50-60% of all #Tech #jobs will be gone, along with 40-50% of all jobs without a physical component. In 20 years, most jobs without a physical component will be gone - teachers, docs, attorneys, managers, CEOs etc. In 30 years, all jobs will be #gone.

Those with #Capital will probably be ok. Those without? Well, that's the big question.

CryptoNewsBot
1 month ago

Wen moon? Bitcoin halving cycle hints at Q4 as smart money 'buys the rumor' - Bitcoin miners and "smart money" are the investor cohorts to watc... - https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-halving-q4-smart-money-buy-btc-price #prediction #btcprice #bitcoin #halving

Marcus Green
1 month ago

The VLE is dead
https://nogoodreason.typepad.co.uk/no_good_reason/2007/11/the-vlelms-is-d.html

Prediction is always difficult, especially when it is about the future.

#moodle #prediction #edtech #vle

Meta-Calibration: Learning of Model Calibration Using Differentiable Expected Calibration Error

Ondrej Bohdal, Yongxin Yang, Timothy Hospedales

Action editor: Yingzhen Li.

https://openreview.net/forum?id=R2hUure38l

#calibration #prediction #model

David Bloomberg
1 month ago

On the #BigBrother25 Why Reilly Lost #podcast I predicted #BBHisam would get backdoored. A bit obvious but I was also right about something going wrong! A clip as today’s 1st TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZT8Fx5WQK/

Also as a YouTube Short: https://youtube.com/shorts/8j_k5YT_qGE?feature=share

Or Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reel/CwSq0cEgP7p/?igshid=MzRlODBiNWFlZA==

And if you haven’t watched/listened to of Why Reilly Lost, catch up on what we had to say: https://robhasawebsite.com/bb25-whyblanklost-week2/

#BB25 #BigBrother #WhyXLost #RHAP #RealityTV #TVShow #TV #prediction #Entertainment

Laura Manach :bongoCat:
1 month ago

I really enjoyed the first two episodes, even though I'm not too familiar with the "Rebels" series.

After watching the second episode, I have a theory.
I think this guy here is actually Ezra Bridger. :thounking:

What do you guys think?

#Ahsoka #StarWars #Spoilers #Prediction

Jan :rust: :ferris:
1 month ago

#Prediction

@bevy #Bevy #GameEngine will blow up within the next 2 years. 🚀

#Rust #RustLang

Legitimately my #prediction at this point in time

Biden 440, Trump 92, third party wins utah
CryptoNewsBot
2 months ago

Bitcoin Price Could Rise to $180,000 by 2024 Halving, Says Fundstrat - In a recent note to investors, Fundstrat has forecasted a potential surge in the p... - https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-price-could-rise-to-180000-by-2024-halving-says-fundstrat/ #digitalassetstrategy #exchangetradedfund #preciousmetals #cryptoeconomy #btcforecasts #davidgrider #seanfarrell #prediction #blackrock #forecasts #fundstrat #six-digit #featured #btc$180k #ethereum #bitcoin #halving #$180k #btc #etf #eth

Greg Dance
2 months ago

Climate Dice july 13th 2023. Hansen et al
https://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2023/ClimateDice.13July2023.pdf

LEFT Image - Cause
Fig. 5. Global temperature relative to 1880-1920. Edges of the predicted post-2010 accelerated
warming rate (see text) are 0.36 and 0.27°C per decade.

Right Image - Effect
The shifting bell curve for Northern Hemisphere land in the summer.

#climate #prediction

AI6YR
3 months ago

My personal #prediction of future note to water users in one year: "In anticipation of a wet winter, we drew down the reservoir, in order to make room for rainfall. Unfortunately, predictions for a wet winter did not pan out, and instead, we have been forced into the uncomfortable position of drastically limiting our supply of water to our customers. We are surprised and disappointed that Mother Nature has put us into this situation."

Kristoffer Lawson
3 months ago

#Prediction: if #Threads follows through with #Fediverse support by using #ActivityPub, and especially if #Wordpress and #Tumblr join the party, #ATProtocol will be all but dead. AP will be the standard for social online, regardless of any benefits of AT. #BlueSky will effectively die with it, unless they switch to AP (unlikely as then they’d just be one instance amongst many). Threads joining the Fediverse would hurt BlueSky (and to some degree #Twitter) a lot more than it would hurt #Mastodon.

Andrew Woods
3 months ago

@thomasfuchs @oedipusnj Yes. A much bigger Orca.

Random thought: When the Starship design industry becomes a thing, it’s gonna take a lot of cues from the cruise ship designs.

#prediction #design

Jan :rust: :ferris:
4 months ago

#Prediction: #RocLang will make purely functional programming languages mainstream and much more accessible.

https://www.roc-lang.org/

#ProgrammingLanguage #FunctionalProgramming #DX #DeveloperExperience

Matt Lehrer
4 months ago

When will #Google announce that the deprecation of Universal Analytics is delayed? I'm guessing June 15th and that it will be delayed for one year. #GoogleAnalytics #prediction

Ben Waber
5 months ago

Next was a fantastic talk by Ville Satopää on bias, information, and noise in forecasting at #INSEAD. This is a great review of research in forecasting and what actually relates to forecaster performance. Highly recommend https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k15B6_hkfpo (4/9) #prediction

Justin Jackson
6 months ago

This piece by @asmartbear is so good.

“Customers are where you discover how to upgrade your strategy. Since you know your initial strategy is wrong, following customers’ lead is how you correct it.”

https://longform.asmartbear.com/predict-the-future/

#business #strategy #prediction

Ingrid Mason
7 months ago

Suspicion Machines Methodology, By Justin-Casimir Braun, Eva Constantaras, Htet Aung, Gabriel Geiger, Dhruv Mehrotra, and Daniel Howden

"Every year, hundreds of people on welfare in a major European city find themselves under investigation because an automated system flagged them as fraud risks. What few of them realise is that they have been surveilled by an automated system ..."

https://www.lighthousereports.com/suspicion-machines-methodology/

#Prediction #Bias #Ethics #Algorithm #Welfare #Disadvantaged #Vulnerable #Unfair

:mastodon: @ ThoseThatCan YT
7 months ago

I predict
#prediction :apartyblobcat: #future * tense' 🤔
#florida 's #desantis
ARRESTED - COURT MARSHALED * by the #unitedstates #military due to supporting this: https://youtu.be/aOzqKJwZesQ

#iran #saudiarabia and #china are squashing their beefs as we speak +
what's w. the catholic-Latin mafia frauds in FL? His dad sure left a mark on his brain? AND supported trvmp ffs. #war 🚫 💩

Maybe a #january6 scenario but possibly state-wide?
Ask Valousia County Sheriff " about the nazis.

Laurent Perrinet
7 months ago

:TipHat: Bonjour and have a happy #JoinMastodonDay!

I didn't do a proper #introduction on this instance, so here it is 🥁 :

I'm a #ComputationalNeuroscience 🧠 researcher trying to understand 🤔 how (if?) our #perception reflects reality.

My focus is mainly on #time to understand the role of #spikes, the universal currency in neural information processing...

👉 👉 we hope to introduce novel #neuromorphic tools based on 🌈 #sparsecoding #prediction #homeostasis to be more :success: and less 🔋-hungry.

More than any other metaverse, I live in the #fediverse. I love 😍 art. #Tesla was a tad weird, but what a scientist!

Tyler McGee
7 months ago

How I think the rest of the #Twitter saga will go down…

1) Elon doubles down on his antics to get attention but ends up pushing more away, not able to separate attention on him from true platform growth.

2) Numbers get increasingly dire, Elon out, new boring “fixer” CEO in.

3) Bleeding stemmed but not stopped. Twitter joins the #Fediverse and all users end up with @ username @ twitter.com accounts.

Reasons ⬇️

#TwitterMigration #Elon #ElonMusk #Prediction #Tech #SocialMedia

Owen King
8 months ago

What exactly is a self-fulfilling prophecy?
What exactly is wrong with self-fulfilling prophecies?
What is the connection between self-fulfilling prophecies and feedback loops?
What are the implications for the ethics of automated prediction?

My article on self-fulfilling prophecies, co-authored with Mayli Mertens, just came out in Ethical Theory and Moral Practice:
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10677-022-10359-9

#philosophy #ethics #aiethics #prediction #feedbackloop

Kent Pitman
9 months ago

@Climate_guy

Good explanation. Well worth tbe time to read.

My related essay Humanity's Superpower doesn't dwell on the "why" but instead focuses on the importance of overcoming our psychological programming and just trusting science so we don't kill ourselves. From that essay:

"Without Science, our first encounter with a dangerous force is likely to be our last. Science offers super-vision, the ability to see beyond what is merely available to our eyes. But only if we opt to use that power."

http://netsettlement.blogspot.com/2020/03/humanitys-superpower_28.html

#climate #science #prediction #survival #humanity #society #ClimateCrisis #psychology

Bart van de Biezen
9 months ago

The ‘Table Cell’ component could become bigger than your button component in Figma with the new nested component properties (beta for organizations) #prediction

Scott Galloway
9 months ago

Everyone Who votes yes in the twitter poll asking if Musk should step down will be banned as 'unsupportive' #prediction

it's B! Cavello 🐝
10 months ago

What do you think is more likely to see widespread adoption first?

(Boosts appreciated!)

tags: #Prediction #VR #Metaverse #BCI #VirtualReality #BrainComputerInterface

Leaving this here: Musk planning 2024 presidential bid.

#Prediction

MrCopilot
10 months ago

#DCU #10YearPlan #Prediction before announcements come out.

World's Finest Series
Supes &
Bats &
WW &
Aquaman &

Trinity Films / JL events
Lobo vs Black Adam vs Superman

Elseworlds:
The Batman
Penguin/Gotham

DC Presents:
Titans
Doom Patrol
Harley
Hawkman
The new DrFate
(I'd do the female run)
Green Lantern Corps (Gunn directs Reynolds in a 3 hander)

Peacemaker
The Question

Snyderverse Animated universe

A bunch of new to live action hero origin films, young justice, etc

Bludhaven TV

A collection of DC figures, Funko Pops and Comic cover reproduction Prints
Mark Dingemanse
10 months ago

New blog post to register a #prediction: OpenAI and other purveyors of stochastic parrots are keeping the receipts to monetize #uninformation detection https://ideophone.org/monetizing-uninformation-a-prediction/

First flood the zone with bullshit (using that term technically: text produced without commitment to truth), then monetize detection of said bullshit.

In the wake of all this, my hope is that scholars will devote more time to what Ivan Illich called counterfoil research.

Quote from Ivan Illich, Tools for Conviviality, 1973: "Present research is overwhelmingly concentrated in two directions: research and development for breakthroughs to the better production of better wares and general systems analysis concerned with protecting man for further consumption. Future research ought to lead in the opposite direction; let us call it counterfoil research. Counterfoil research also has two major tasks: to provide guidelines for detecting the in- cipient stages of murderous logic in a toal; and to devise tools and tool-systems that optimize the balance of life, thereby maximizing liberty for all."
Jan :rust: :ferris:
10 months ago

My (very pessimistic) prediction on how performance will change once #Mastodon is rewritten in #Rust

- 3x the number of requests per second
- 5x less memory usage

And in case you didn't know:
@dma is working on it:

https://github.com/hachyserve/rustypub

Thank you @dma 😘

I'm really looking forward to it. :ferris:

#RustLang #Performance #Prediction #RewriteItInRust #RIIR

The Ocean Cowboy 🤠
11 months ago

Will we see two new candidates for #President in 2024?

#politics #america #election2024 #prediction